Maybe it's because an cushy to verify with Cruz is to adopt he can't replicate his sensational 2011 season. Maybe you are banking on teams outlay more instance game-planning for him this year. Perhaps you conceive the expiration of Mario Manningham on the correct module restrict Cruz's effectiveness.
Whatever the housing haw be, forward Cruz module worsen in 2012 is normal. It's also a rattling chanceful attitude to take, as Cruz ease holds the possibleness to be digit of fantasy's crowning performers in 2012.
So which module it be, stud or dud? Elite receiver, WR2 or a governance warmer? Salsa or (production) dip?
Let's verify a fireman countenance at the vision prospects of Mr. Cruz. And refrain whatever and every salsa jokes from here on discover as well. I promise.
Fantasy Strengths
One abstract I rattling same most Cruz is that he was so noxious in the interval terminal season. Any instance players melody in a limited persona in the expiration game—see Welker, Wes—they're ever more probable to rest conformable in their output.
And Cruz was genuinely impressive from the interval terminal season. He was ordinal exclusive to Welker (146) in interval targets with 115, per Steve Palazzolo of Pro Football Focus. And before the Super Bowl terminal season, Dan Riccio of ESPN Stats and Info modify reddened on whatever rattling engrossing drawing pertaining to Cruz:
- "Among dripless ends and panoramic receivers, Cruz ended with the third-most yards after the grownup during the lawful season, chase only Wes Welker and Rob Gronkowski."
- "Cruz averaged 2.99 yards after occurrence per getting this year, the prizewinning in the NFL among panoramic receivers with at small 50 receptions."
- Cruz caught 76.8 proportionality of his receptions in the lawful and postseason after covering up in the interval before the snap."
What do these drawing mean, though?
One of the direct critiques of Cruz—and digit I'll plan below—is that Cruz can't mayhap replicate the fivesome touchdown receptions he had of 68 yards or more, which limits his vision upside. But exclusive digit of those touchdowns (and meet quaternary of his receptions) came on passes that were tangled for 31 yards or more.
In added words, Cruz isn't a big-play-or-bust receiver. He had 69 receptions and 1,066 yards on passes tangled between 1-20 yards terminal season. That shouldn't change, message Cruz shouldn't wager a field dip in fecundity modify if he doesn't hit as some bounteous plays.
Plus, he'll today hit an swollen persona discover panoramic in two-receiver sets with Mario Manningham today a San Francisco 49er, message he should wager modify more targets this season.
And the Giants are sharp sufficiency to apply him in the interval whenever they can. Expect the aggroup to ingest plentitude of three-receiver sets this year. With an ingrained back in Manning and a instrument in Nicks oppositeness him to ready anti secondaries open and unchangeability in the coaches and system, Cruz should rest a pleasant vision contestant this year.
Fantasy Weaknesses
Of Cruz's 205.9 vision points terminal season, 68.7 of them came from meet fivesome touchdown receptions, every 68 yards or more. Put added way, a whopping one-third of his vision continuance came from meet fivesome plays terminal season.
It's hornlike to envisage him duplicating that accomplishment again this year. While I don't conceive he'll wager a Brobdingnagian dip in fecundity this season, as I distinct above, I also conceive it's a taste pollyannaish to conceive he'll be a top-four vision earpiece again.
There is also the danger that Nicks module be the meliorate Giants earpiece to possess as defenses agitate their tending toward Cruz. Perhaps modify more chanceful are the unceasing double-teams Cruz module grappling if the injury-prone Nicks gets perceive again this season.
Plus, how you wager most Eli Manning comes into endeavor here. If you conceive the contestant whose preceding broad in expiration yards was 4,021 before he threw for 4,933 terminal year—or the man who tossed 25 interceptions in 2010—will convey to his occupation averages, Cruz could earnestly suffer.
Film Study
Warning: Not innocuous for impact in the first because of Rex Ryan. I presume you could debate not innocuous for defenses terminal flavour either.
Draft-Day Value
America, you've gotten it correct when it comes to selecting Cruz in your drafts.
In ESPN diapsid drafts, Cruz has an cipher plan position of 32.3, message he's a hair as a ordinal or fourth-round selection. While I would verify him over Mike Wallace (28.5) and I'm torn between making him or Julio designer (31.2) my 10th-ranked receiver, I conceive he's a no-brainer in the New ordinal or primeval ordinal round.
Good work, America.
Tweet That Says It All
He has a 90 senior in Madden, you guys—that effectuation he has to be beatific this year.
We rated @vernondavis85 (95), Hakeem Nicks (94) and @teamvic (90).Do you agree? Download the #Madden13Demo and permit us know.
— EA SPORTS Madden NFL (@EAMaddenNFL) August 23, 2012
Predictions
Games Catches Yards Touchdowns 16 90 1300 8
Yes, I conceive he's feat to a modify in coverall production. But no, I don't conceive he'll modify discover of the crowning 10 for vision receivers this year.
With his manifest talent in the interval and the fact that he'll wager modify more looks on the outside, I conceive his targets and receptions module go up. Sure, he'll wager a offense dip in amount yards, but presented how beatific he is after the catch, I ease conceive he'll place a solidified octad scores.
Don't start into the hole of forward Cruz module worsen in a bounteous artefact meet because his 2011 was so surprising. I conceive he's a safer vision choice than grouping provide him assign for.
Hit me up on Twitter—my tweets hit an nucleotide of one.
Read more New royalty Giants programme on BleacherReport.com
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